Serie A · Matchday 33

US Lecce vs ACF Fiorentina prediction

Mon, 20 Apr 2026 · 18:45

USLUS Lecce
FIOACF Fiorentina
0-1
ACF Fiorentina Win
Medium confidence
ACF Fiorentina Win
Predicted Winner
0-1
Predicted Score
Under
Over/Under 2.5

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Match analysis

In a moderately predictable Serie A match, our model favours ACF Fiorentina against US Lecce. The expected score is 0-1. The goal total forecast points to under 2.5 goals.

This prediction was generated by our LightGBM model trained specifically on Serie A data, using 70+ features including ELO ratings, expected goals (xG), form streaks, head-to-head records, and market odds. The model is validated through strict temporal backtesting to ensure predictions are genuine out-of-sample forecasts.

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O/U accuracy
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