Real accuracy numbers from genuine out-of-sample predictions. No cherry-picking, no hindsight.
2025/26 season · out-of-sample
| League | Predictions | Accuracy | vs Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|
Serie A | 165 | 57.6% | +7.6% |
Bundesliga | 124 | 56.5% | +6.5% |
| 690 | 51.7% | +1.7% | |
Premier League | 147 | 49.0% | -1.0% |
Ligue 1 | 112 | 48.2% | -1.8% |
La Liga | 138 | 47.8% | -2.2% |
Eredivisie | 2 | — | — |
Primeira Liga | 2 | — | — |
For reference: professional sports betting services typically achieve 52-56% on 3-way markets.
We update these numbers after every pipeline run (every 3-4 days). We don't cherry-pick good weeks or hide bad results.
All predictions are logged before kickoff — no hindsight. Every prediction shown on this page was generated before the match started, using only data available at the time.
Football is inherently unpredictable. No model can account for injuries announced 30 minutes before kick-off, red cards, or a goalkeeper having the game of their life. Our confidence scores reflect this uncertainty.
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