Primeira Liga · Matchday 30

FC Arouca vs CF Estrela da Amadora prediction

Sun, 19 Apr 2026 · 14:30

FCAFC Arouca
AMACF Estrela da Amadora
1-1
FC Arouca Win
Low confidence
FC Arouca Win
Predicted Winner
1-1
Predicted Score
Under
Over/Under 2.5

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Match analysis

This Primeira Liga match between FC Arouca and CF Estrela da Amadora is hard to call. Our model leans towards a FC Arouca win, but confidence is low. Predicted score: 1-1.

This prediction was generated by our LightGBM model trained specifically on Primeira Liga data, using 70+ features including ELO ratings, expected goals (xG), form streaks, head-to-head records, and market odds. The model is validated through strict temporal backtesting to ensure predictions are genuine out-of-sample forecasts.

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O/U accuracy
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