Serie A · Matchday 35

Bologna FC 1909 vs Cagliari Calcio prediction

Sun, 3 May 2026 · 00:00

BOLBologna FC 1909
CAGCagliari Calcio
1-0
Bologna FC 1909 Win
Medium confidence
Bologna FC 1909 Win
Predicted Winner
1-0
Predicted Score
Under
Over/Under 2.5

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Match analysis

In a moderately predictable Serie A match, our model favours Bologna FC 1909 against Cagliari Calcio. The expected score is 1-0. The goal total forecast points to under 2.5 goals.

This prediction was generated by our LightGBM model trained specifically on Serie A data, using 70+ features including ELO ratings, expected goals (xG), form streaks, head-to-head records, and market odds. The model is validated through strict temporal backtesting to ensure predictions are genuine out-of-sample forecasts.

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O/U accuracy
5
Leagues covered
140
Days backtested

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