Serie A · Matchday 35

AS Roma vs ACF Fiorentina prediction

Sun, 3 May 2026 · 00:00

ROMAS Roma
FIOACF Fiorentina
2-0
AS Roma Win
Medium confidence
AS Roma Win
Predicted Winner
2-0
Predicted Score
Over
Over/Under 2.5

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Match analysis

In a moderately predictable Serie A match, our model favours AS Roma against ACF Fiorentina. The expected score is 2-0. The goal total forecast points to over 2.5 goals.

This prediction was generated by our LightGBM model trained specifically on Serie A data, using 70+ features including ELO ratings, expected goals (xG), form streaks, head-to-head records, and market odds. The model is validated through strict temporal backtesting to ensure predictions are genuine out-of-sample forecasts.

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O/U accuracy
5
Leagues covered
140
Days backtested

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